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U.S. Open Golf


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#16 Evelyn

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Posted 22 June 2015 - 03:11 PM

Wonderful outcome either way  :)  :ph43r: . Now I am even more excited about getting The Open this year. 



#17 mitchells

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Posted 22 June 2015 - 03:16 PM

Are you guys familiar with Johnson's history when in the hunt on the last day of a major championship? Yesterday was his fourth.

 

He was leading the US Open at Pebble Beach and shot an 82 on Sunday.  Sorry, but shooting an 82 on the last day of the US Open when you have the lead is not a coin flip. It is a choke. How about his famous shank at the British Open? He hit what would have been lay up shot on a par 5 right out of bounds.  Sorry, but pro golfers do not do that unless their brain is causing their bodies to do strange things while under pressure. And his brain freeze on the last hole at the PGA at Whistling Straits?

 

Golf is a mental game. The guys who can handle the stress and pressure win more tournaments than those who can't. Johnson has a ton of talent so he is often in the mix down the stretch of the majors but can't close. Maybe he gets over it but yesterday is an all time choke. I cannot remember a pro golfer ever 3 putting on the last hole of a major to lose.

 

If any of you have ever played golf and have a critical putt or shot to make at the end to win can easily understand that.



All are lunatics, but he who can analyze his delusions is called a philosopher.
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#18 Anthony Bonner

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Posted 22 June 2015 - 03:23 PM

I don't care about "his history". It's not a real sample.

"This is a battle of who blinks first, and we've cut off our eyelids"


#19 Peter Creasey

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Posted 22 June 2015 - 03:23 PM

Retief Goosen, 2001 U S Open

 

 

At the end of the final round on Sunday, Brooks three-putted his way out of the lead on the 72nd hole. In the final pairing, co-leaders Goosen and Stewart Cink both had approach shots from the 18th fairway. Cink missed the green long and then three-putted from 15 feet (5 m) to double bogey. Goosen had 10 feet (3 m) feet for birdie, but also three-putted to tie Brooks, forcing the next-day playoff.


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#20 mitchells

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Posted 22 June 2015 - 03:30 PM

 

Retief Goosen, 2001 U S Open

 

 

At the end of the final round on Sunday, Brooks three-putted his way out of the lead on the 72nd hole. In the final pairing, co-leaders Goosen and Stewart Cink both had approach shots from the 18th fairway. Cink missed the green long and then three-putted from 15 feet (5 m) to double bogey. Goosen had 10 feet (3 m) feet for birdie, but also three-putted to tie Brooks, forcing the next-day playoff.

 

 

I don't remember that but those  guys choked too!  What is the probability of a pro 3 putting from 12 feet?



All are lunatics, but he who can analyze his delusions is called a philosopher.
Ambrose Bierce

#21 Peter Creasey

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Posted 22 June 2015 - 03:33 PM

It depends on how anxious (aggressive) he is to make the first putt and win outright...as was the case with Dustin Johnson.


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#22 Anthony Bonner

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Posted 22 June 2015 - 03:37 PM

Clearly higher than you think.

"This is a battle of who blinks first, and we've cut off our eyelids"


#23 mitchells

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Posted 22 June 2015 - 03:40 PM

So far this year on the PGA Tour, not including the US Open or the Masters, there are 76 players who have not yet 3 putted once from distances between 10 and 15 feet.

 

That includes 7797 total chances. Dustin Johnson himself had not 3 putted once from between 10 and 15 feet.

 

Clearly lower than you thought.



All are lunatics, but he who can analyze his delusions is called a philosopher.
Ambrose Bierce

#24 mitchells

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Posted 22 June 2015 - 03:46 PM

The next 50 pros had a combined 51 three putts in 6746 chances between 10 and 15 feet. That takes us through 126 players and a total of 51 three putts in over 14,500 chances.



All are lunatics, but he who can analyze his delusions is called a philosopher.
Ambrose Bierce

#25 mitchells

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Posted 22 June 2015 - 03:53 PM

Clearly higher than you think.

Adrian, on 19 Jun 2015 - 7:42 PM, said:snapback.png

You can say it, it's okay. "I was wrong"

It happens to the best of us.



All are lunatics, but he who can analyze his delusions is called a philosopher.
Ambrose Bierce

#26 Anthony Bonner

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Posted 22 June 2015 - 03:54 PM

No. Not lower than I thought. 144/7797 That's 2% of the time.

I think we're looking at different data sets. my denominator is wrong.

"This is a battle of who blinks first, and we've cut off our eyelids"


#27 Anthony Bonner

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Posted 22 June 2015 - 03:55 PM

Mitchell's. We're not wrong. You are completely flummoxed by randomness.

"This is a battle of who blinks first, and we've cut off our eyelids"


#28 Anthony Bonner

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Posted 22 June 2015 - 03:58 PM

Do we need to teach you statistics again? Can't you just go look at the sharp's thread?

"This is a battle of who blinks first, and we've cut off our eyelids"


#29 mitchells

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Posted 22 June 2015 - 03:59 PM

No. Not lower than I thought. 144/7797 That's 2% of the time.

I think we're looking at different data sets. my denominator is wrong.

 

Where are you getting 144?



All are lunatics, but he who can analyze his delusions is called a philosopher.
Ambrose Bierce

#30 mitchells

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Posted 22 June 2015 - 03:59 PM

See this link and tell me where I am wrong.

 

http://www.pgatour.c...s/stat.070.html



All are lunatics, but he who can analyze his delusions is called a philosopher.
Ambrose Bierce